My first recollection of an awareness of the American
political process was in 1956. I sat on
our den floor with my father sitting in his chair nearby as we listened to the
election returns coming in through our oversized floor-model radio. In a rematch of the 1952 election, President
Dwight Eisenhower defeated Democrat Adlai Stevenson by a landslide to win a
second term.
By four years later, television had come to our city,
giving us access to Ed Sullivan, Gunsmoke, and Walt Disney. The big radio had disappeared in favor of one
large furniture cabinet that housed a television set, radio, and record player
behind its doors. On that TV set I
watched the first televised presidential debate – indeed likely the first debate
ever between two presidential candidates sharing the same stage – between John
Kennedy and Richard Nixon. I was now
thoroughly hooked by this quadrennial piece of Americana.
Subsequently, I incredulously watched the nightly
unfolding of the chaos of the Democratic 1968 Chicago convention; saw Gerald
Ford stumble over whether or not Eastern Europe was dominated by Russia; heard
Lloyd Bentsen take down Dan Quale by observing, “Senator, you are no John
Kennedy”; and was entertained by 3rd-party Ross Perot’s graph charts
in the 1992 debates.
I was there with good friends to watch the 1980 election
results when the news media announced Ronald Reagan the winner before the
appetizers even got out of the oven.
Conversely, in 2000 I went to bed late in the a.m. understanding that it
would be a long time after election day before the winner would be known. All told, I have been there listening to
election results 14 times, and I expect to be there again on Tuesday, November
6, 2012. Even though the vote is likely
to be so close it will no doubt be well into Wednesday before “the decision” is
known. And it is also probable that an
army of Republican and Democratic lawyers will be standing by to file lawsuits
over close voting results. I fear we may
yet again hear from the Supreme Court in a replay of the 2000 election.
After all of the debates, TV ads, mailing literature, and
news reports of this most ugliest of campaigns are digested, it becomes
decision time. Some past years have been
difficult decisions; some years have been stark contrasts. But this year has been overwhelmingly
characterized by three really big lies.
1. Principles:
What has been shown time after time in this campaign is that Governor Romney’s
core beliefs and principles are simply a mirror image of the individual person
Romney is talking to in that particular moment.
Then it is on to the next person and a whole new set of beliefs
unfettered by truth. It seems as if
every time he expresses an unscripted thought, within 24 hours a legion of
handlers seeks to clarify what he “really” meant to say, what his position
actually is (today). Which is why Romney
has avoided like the plague any free-wheeling interviews with the news
media. The beliefs the former governor
has stated the last two months bear virtually no resemblance to the last four
years. To vote for this candidate us to
vote for an empty darkness, a void framed by lies well beyond the usual
“political exaggeration” we are accustomed to.
If I were a Republican Tea Partier who voted in the primaries, I would
not even recognize the Republican candidate who is speaking today.
2. Recovery Not
Working: The whole focus of the Republican establishment’s campaign has
tried to center on the economy. More
specifically, that “the President’s economic policies are not working.” The second big lie. From fall 2008 to summer 2009, the country
was in an economic free-fall from Republican fiscal irresponsibility and
deregulation by the Bush administration.
However, since that summer as Obama response actions began to kick in,
the economy has in fact been working. It
has been consistently going in the right direction, albeit expectedly in slow
steps given the low starting point. By
almost any measure used – unemployment rate, net jobs, export growth, reduced
oil imports, record corporate profits, stock market levels, housing prices and
construction startups, auto sales – virtually all are moving in the correct
direction. Are we where we want to be
yet? No.
Getting there on a steady and solid foundation? You betcha.
Which is why consumer confidence and spending have been consistently
moving upwards. The President’s policies
are working just fine, thank you very much, and should not be put in peril.
3. Social Terrorism:
For the Republican Radical Right, the economic argument is simply a smokescreen
hiding a larger agenda. The third big
lie is that in the name of “cutting expenses” and “fiscal responsibility,” the
fiscally-irresponsible Right is bent on upending established social programs
and human / constitutional rights that have required so much effort to
achieve. The political and religious
antagonism to these issues was there long before the Great Recession hit. But we have seen this economic scare story
blamed for the attempt to undo the social progress made. As I have seen very clearly in my current
state of North Carolina and elsewhere, it is happening at both the federal and
state levels – a consistent chipping away in order to try to send American
society back to a fictitious image of the 1950s. True “American Family Values” are not to be
found in this false “conservative” agenda.
It is said that, in the end, after all the talk about
issues, principles and position papers, Americans wind up making their voting
decisions based upon intangible criteria.
Because in reality we have no idea what this country is going to face
over the next four years. Any more than
George W. Bush could foresee the defining moment of the 9-11 attack; or Barack
Obama could predict the depth of the economic pain awaiting his inaugural. So we cross our fingers and vote for the
intangibles, hoping they will give us the right leader for the approaching
unknowable times.
They are intangibles of: honesty, that our president will speak the truth to us of what s/he
believes and what is happening to us; understanding,
that s/he can relate to and appreciate the varied circumstances of the very
differing lives of our citizenry; kindness;
a respect for each human being and their worth, treating each with the dignity
and consideration they deserve; leadership,
the skills to see the breadth of America, the potential of our future, and to
lay out genuine and well-reasoned steps for how to get there.
On the basis of these intangibles, this year’s choice is
both clear and easy. In 1992, the focal
point was, “It’s the economy, stupid.”
In 2012, the point is, “It’s about character, stupid.” I will skip over the chameleon who has no
beliefs, has built his campaign on continual and expanding lies to a level
never seen before, and has no idea of the experiences of how most Americans
live their daily lives. I will stay with
the seasoned guy, whose core principles today are the same as four years
ago. Whose smart and well-reasoned ideas
have steadily and re-assuredly led us continually forward against seemingly
overwhelming and unconscionable political opposition. I’ll go home with the guy who brought me to
this dance. With Barack Obama. Where both hope and the right kind of change
– to the future – still reside.
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Election 2012 - The Campaign - Remembered
Wednesday, October 17, 2012
Election 2012 - The Issues
Since the start of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign in
the Republican primary, he has sought to make this election a 1-note campaign
about the economy, jobs, and Barack Obama’s handling of our recovery from the
Great Recession. However, during the
primary Rick Santorum and the other Republican candidates introduced numerous
other issues also of concern to Americans.
And Obama continued to do the same after Romney sewed up the
nomination. This has been a good thing,
because it has reminded us that the election is about more than just the
economy. When we elect a President, we
have to select our best choice, our best hope, our best strategist and
communicator over a broad range of topics about which Americans are
concerned. Let us then look at some
representative examples of this broad range of issues.
1. The Economy: The question is who has the most credibility in managing the government role and portion of our economy. The greatest cumulative growth in jobs has come under Democratic presidents. The greatest growth in budget deficits has come from Republican presidents. The principal cause of our Great Recession was the huge push in deregulation of business during the G.W. Bush Republican era. It led to unbridled fraud and risk-taking that ultimately collapsed the economy and sent much of the workforce into joblessness. It has taken this current administration its entire first term to turn around that collapse and achieve a consistent 3-year reduction in our deficit spending and unemployment rate, while also restoring the stock market and increasing total jobs. So which policies should be more entrusted to continue this recovery?
2. Taxation: Much is being said about cutting taxes by both parties. But I am mystified as to how cutting revenues makes much sense when you are in deficit spending. For all the talk against the supposedly high tax rate on wealthy people and prosperous corporations, the truth is that NONE of these people / corporations is actually paying that stated high rate on their income. If they are, they desperately need to find another tax accountant. Mitt Romney’s @12% tax rate on his millions of income exemplifies this falsity, and confirms the hollowness of the “high taxes on the rich” argument. Which is why reform of the boondoggle of special exemptions and tax treatment is so necessary. But does anyone believe that either party can deliver this reform against the onslaught of lobbyist power and negative taxpayer reactions to eliminating their favored deductions?
3. Spending Cuts: As I have noted before, everyone wants to cut government spending. But no one wants to reduce the payments going to them. No businessperson wants government contracts reduced to his/her company; no citizen wants their support payments reduced. Romney’s goal to eliminate the miniscule funding for Big Bird (the only cut he has been specific about) is contrasted to his goal to ADD billions for unneeded military spending. The bloodletting over spending will likely kill the patient, but Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK) is correct in protesting some ridiculous uses of our collective money. The question remains who do we trust more to make the rights cuts needed in a smart and targeted way, versus swinging a meat ax indiscriminately across the budget?
4. Supreme Court: Our Supreme Court is as politicized and badly divided as the rest of America. Which is why it now has its lowest public approval rating since such measurement started in the 1980s. Appointments are for life, and several vacancies are expected over the next four years. Considering the Supreme Court’s substantial impact on our lives, who do we trust more to nominate future justices to the court?
5. Women’s Rights: Abortion, proper health care without government interference, equal pay, opportunities for access in the workplace and government – these are all issues that have been actively on the docket for 50 years now. Yet there are still those who push back on these topics, attempting to recreate a “Leave It To Beaver” family unit/lifestyle that disappeared long ago. The positions of the two candidates and their Parties could not be more different on this topic. So who do you trust to continue the march toward enlightened fairness for women versus trying to turn the clock back?
6. Safety Net: Ditto on health care for the entire population, Medicare and Medicaid support, and Social Security. We have come so far, through so much resistance, over so many years, in establishing a basic floor for protecting and ensuring life’s most fundamental needs for all citizens. A floor above which people can then rise to express and achieve their individual potential to the best of their abilities. Republicans pledge to convert that safety net to the rollercoaster of the marketplace: vouchers, privatized social security, health insurance turned back to the insurance companies. It supposedly will all be cheaper due to “business competition.” Yet the last decade demonstrated the ridiculousness of putting your baseline programs into the stock market (versus added higher-level options). And the failure of the insurance companies to meet consumer demand with cost-effective programs at affordable prices is what led to the need for government intervention in the first place. So who do we trust more to lead America’s foundational safety net forward versus tossing it into the corporate board room?
7. Immigration: Republicans want to keep building a fence and send home the 10M+ illegal immigrants. Democrats want to increase border patrols and find ways to integrate otherwise-law-abiding illegals into society. We certainly should be penalizing employers who continue to create the illegal labor force that draws these immigrants to us in the first place. Who is going to finally step to the plate and find the “grand compromise” needed to move us past this stalemate?
8. Civil Rights: The old issue of achieving equality that has always been a promise of America is still a battle. Much has been accomplished over our 225 years, but we are not there yet across all kinds of race, religion, sexual and economic groups. Given what we have seen over the last decade, and even the anti-voting maneuvers attempted in this extended election process, who do we trust more to advance that promise rather than to continue to create obstacles?
9. Foreign Affairs: America is the most powerful nation on earth. But even with all that power we cannot control what happens across the globe. When we overly try to dominate and interfere with other nations, we inevitably get ourselves into deep trouble. The world is vastly different than post-World War II, the Cold War, the foreign domination of the Middle East, a new China. Who do we trust more to have the sensitivity, expansiveness, understanding and the humility needed to work within this wholly new world, and the wisdom to know that this different mindset is what is needed?
There is no doubt that the economy and jobs are people’s great concerns. But they are not, and should not be, our only concerns. Despite the rhetoric, mistruths and position shifts occurring on the campaign trail, we all need to consider the full potential outcomes of this election – and at the federal, state and local levels. When the campaign noise is shut out, it still comes down to that instinct in our gut: who do we trust more to be honest with us, to be the most thoughtful, to do the right thing, and to be the steadiest hand when all the yet unforeseen crises arise to challenge us?
1. The Economy: The question is who has the most credibility in managing the government role and portion of our economy. The greatest cumulative growth in jobs has come under Democratic presidents. The greatest growth in budget deficits has come from Republican presidents. The principal cause of our Great Recession was the huge push in deregulation of business during the G.W. Bush Republican era. It led to unbridled fraud and risk-taking that ultimately collapsed the economy and sent much of the workforce into joblessness. It has taken this current administration its entire first term to turn around that collapse and achieve a consistent 3-year reduction in our deficit spending and unemployment rate, while also restoring the stock market and increasing total jobs. So which policies should be more entrusted to continue this recovery?
2. Taxation: Much is being said about cutting taxes by both parties. But I am mystified as to how cutting revenues makes much sense when you are in deficit spending. For all the talk against the supposedly high tax rate on wealthy people and prosperous corporations, the truth is that NONE of these people / corporations is actually paying that stated high rate on their income. If they are, they desperately need to find another tax accountant. Mitt Romney’s @12% tax rate on his millions of income exemplifies this falsity, and confirms the hollowness of the “high taxes on the rich” argument. Which is why reform of the boondoggle of special exemptions and tax treatment is so necessary. But does anyone believe that either party can deliver this reform against the onslaught of lobbyist power and negative taxpayer reactions to eliminating their favored deductions?
3. Spending Cuts: As I have noted before, everyone wants to cut government spending. But no one wants to reduce the payments going to them. No businessperson wants government contracts reduced to his/her company; no citizen wants their support payments reduced. Romney’s goal to eliminate the miniscule funding for Big Bird (the only cut he has been specific about) is contrasted to his goal to ADD billions for unneeded military spending. The bloodletting over spending will likely kill the patient, but Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK) is correct in protesting some ridiculous uses of our collective money. The question remains who do we trust more to make the rights cuts needed in a smart and targeted way, versus swinging a meat ax indiscriminately across the budget?
4. Supreme Court: Our Supreme Court is as politicized and badly divided as the rest of America. Which is why it now has its lowest public approval rating since such measurement started in the 1980s. Appointments are for life, and several vacancies are expected over the next four years. Considering the Supreme Court’s substantial impact on our lives, who do we trust more to nominate future justices to the court?
5. Women’s Rights: Abortion, proper health care without government interference, equal pay, opportunities for access in the workplace and government – these are all issues that have been actively on the docket for 50 years now. Yet there are still those who push back on these topics, attempting to recreate a “Leave It To Beaver” family unit/lifestyle that disappeared long ago. The positions of the two candidates and their Parties could not be more different on this topic. So who do you trust to continue the march toward enlightened fairness for women versus trying to turn the clock back?
6. Safety Net: Ditto on health care for the entire population, Medicare and Medicaid support, and Social Security. We have come so far, through so much resistance, over so many years, in establishing a basic floor for protecting and ensuring life’s most fundamental needs for all citizens. A floor above which people can then rise to express and achieve their individual potential to the best of their abilities. Republicans pledge to convert that safety net to the rollercoaster of the marketplace: vouchers, privatized social security, health insurance turned back to the insurance companies. It supposedly will all be cheaper due to “business competition.” Yet the last decade demonstrated the ridiculousness of putting your baseline programs into the stock market (versus added higher-level options). And the failure of the insurance companies to meet consumer demand with cost-effective programs at affordable prices is what led to the need for government intervention in the first place. So who do we trust more to lead America’s foundational safety net forward versus tossing it into the corporate board room?
7. Immigration: Republicans want to keep building a fence and send home the 10M+ illegal immigrants. Democrats want to increase border patrols and find ways to integrate otherwise-law-abiding illegals into society. We certainly should be penalizing employers who continue to create the illegal labor force that draws these immigrants to us in the first place. Who is going to finally step to the plate and find the “grand compromise” needed to move us past this stalemate?
8. Civil Rights: The old issue of achieving equality that has always been a promise of America is still a battle. Much has been accomplished over our 225 years, but we are not there yet across all kinds of race, religion, sexual and economic groups. Given what we have seen over the last decade, and even the anti-voting maneuvers attempted in this extended election process, who do we trust more to advance that promise rather than to continue to create obstacles?
9. Foreign Affairs: America is the most powerful nation on earth. But even with all that power we cannot control what happens across the globe. When we overly try to dominate and interfere with other nations, we inevitably get ourselves into deep trouble. The world is vastly different than post-World War II, the Cold War, the foreign domination of the Middle East, a new China. Who do we trust more to have the sensitivity, expansiveness, understanding and the humility needed to work within this wholly new world, and the wisdom to know that this different mindset is what is needed?
There is no doubt that the economy and jobs are people’s great concerns. But they are not, and should not be, our only concerns. Despite the rhetoric, mistruths and position shifts occurring on the campaign trail, we all need to consider the full potential outcomes of this election – and at the federal, state and local levels. When the campaign noise is shut out, it still comes down to that instinct in our gut: who do we trust more to be honest with us, to be the most thoughtful, to do the right thing, and to be the steadiest hand when all the yet unforeseen crises arise to challenge us?
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Election 2012 - Barack Obama
In the left corner of our political boxing ring we have
the Democratic candidate for President in 2012: Barack Hussein Obama. Mr. Obama is the son of a mixed-race
marriage, raised by his middle-class single mother or her parents in diverse
settings as his mother pursued her anthropological research. He was a product of our public school systems
who took full advantage of student loan opportunities and a Harvard Law
education to become the first bi-racial President of the United States. By the very fact of his election he signaled
a milestone in the social and legal progress of America over his own 50
years. Now he stands in assessment by
the people of how well he has done with the opportunities given to him.
It seems that complaints against Mr. Obama center on three issues: 1) that he embodies a big government, if not socialist, agenda contrary to American individualism; 2) that he has not restored our economy or reduced the national debt; or 3) that he has failed to deliver on promises and expectations from his 2008 election.
1. Socialist: In reality, America is a far distance away from being, or becoming, a socialist state where “the means of production are owned and controlled by the state.” Certainly we could all point to some areas of regulation or tax burdens we might like to reduce, but I am still free to change jobs, start my own business, spend my money pretty much as I choose, pretty much the same as in 2008. No guns have been seized, no “death panels have pulled the plug on grandma.” The only area where the government has significantly expanded its services and engagement has been with health care – the very area that has long been broken, eating up our economy, and immorally inaccessible to much of the population – using the very model created by Republican candidate Romney. Considering that it was a Republican President and Congress that passed the No-Child-Left-Behind intrusion into our public schools, and the Patriot Act intrusion into our privacy, and the various limits on people’s right to live the life they choose, the yelling about “socialism and big government” against Obama rings quite hollow. As do all the protests against the new financial regulations needed to protect us against yet another financial Great Recession.
The “socialist” charge is an easy way to whip up the emotions of those who already feel frustrated by government intrusion into our lives. It has been used (with racial undertones) by corporate monopolistic business leaders for 100 years to discredit people who are opposed to their excessive economic control and ability to wield favored political power. But the substance does not work here. Not when the term comes from the very politicians who are themselves promoting intrusion and control over our lives.
2. Economy: There is no question that the Bush economic collapse of 2008 completely reprioritized Obama’s intended political agenda. Yet Obama managed to contain a consensus looming depression into a recession. Unemployment maxed out at 10% in October 2009 – not a desirable level, but way better than the 25% experience of the 1930s Great Depression. It has since been on a steady decline for three years, most recently standing at 7.8%, just three points above our typical 5%. (The unemployment rate would be lower if Republican budget cuts and anti-stimulus votes had not fired thousands of federal and state government workers.) Total employment in the private sector has been consistently growing for over three years; there are now over 500,000 net private sector jobs in place than when Obama took office. The auto industry is alive and well, and millions of auto manufacturing and supply chain jobs were saved by Obama’s investment decision – an investment that is actually returning a profit to the U.S. Treasury. And unlike Bush’s bailout gift to the financial industry, Obama extracted smart conditions for change in both management and labor, and added benefits to the public, from auto industry leaders. The stock market was tanking as Obama came into office, losing almost one-half of its wealth to a Dow Jones Industrial Average low of $6,547. That average has now climbed up to over $13,500, and most 401k retirement accounts have been restored. The budget deficit has been steadily reduced each year, from $1,509B for FY 2009 to $1,100B for FY 2012. All in all, not a bad track record for someone trying to bring the American economy back from the financial cliff.
Growth may be slow, but it is still growth; over 90% of Americans are in fact employed. They say “it could have been worse” is a lousy campaign slogan. But sometimes it is the exact truth. Frankly the economy would be doing great if Washington would end its stalemate so that businesspeople would know the future rules of the game and be able to plan accordingly.
3. Disappointments: As for disappointments from 2008, I have trouble understanding that charge against a President who has accomplished so much given so little to work with. Americans always start out with great hope and enthusiasm for each new president; most of the time the reality falls short. Ted Kennedy described his slain brother Robert as one who “dreamed things that never were, and asked Why Not?” Yet German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck said in 1867 that “politics is the art of the possible.” Hopeful vision in a leader is important to inspire effort and establish directions. Yet you must also inevitably pick your battles carefully, make progress where you can, and seek to come out ahead of where you were. The last four years have been a time of the near IM-possible. From that basis, a lot of those 2008 campaign promises have gotten done.
Healthcare was Obama’s #1 priority, and in the end he got it done. It was unnecessarily a too-big final package, and the decision to let Congress “work out the details” was a bad one because they made a mess of it. But in a country this wealthy, bankruptcy, pain and death due to a lack of access to healthcare is inexcusable. 20 years from now, most people will wonder what all the loud protest was about, coming from people who already have health care and who will not be negatively affected by the changes. Just as some politicians once protested Social Security and Medicare.
Immigration fairness has not been done due to the extreme “either/or” thinking in Congress. Working in the middle, Obama has supported increased border patrols and deportation of illegal aliens. But he also has supported some form of “path to citizenship” and a “Dream Act” for the children of illegal aliens that Republicans refuse to consider even as they refuse to round up the aliens they object to and send them home. So Obama unilaterally found ways to provide some access and security for these children by executive order.
To ensure equality of rights, the “Don’t Ask / Don’t Tell” law prohibiting equal opportunity to serve in the military has been repealed; Obama has refused to enforce the “Domestic Marriage Act” prohibiting social benefits to domestic partners; and he has signed a bill strengthening “equal pay for equal work” requirements. For some reason we still struggle with that “all men are created equal” thing.
Internationally and militarily, Obama has pulled that agenda off the usual Republican plate. The Iraq war is over; two more years to go in Afghanistan to end President Bush’s forgotten “other war”; bin Laden is dead; al-Qaeda, while still dangerous, has been badly crippled; Libya is free of Gadaffi. Guantanamo is still open due to Congress’ refusal to fund any alternate prison on American soil. Our standing and partnerships with European leaders have been restored; the Middle East remains a 65-year old intractable problem spanning 12 Presidents for reasons too many to delineate here, even as former Bush (and now Romney) advisors trumpet for new arrogant military responses with Syria and Iran. We do not seem to learn our lessons very well or easily. But the Obama/Clinton foreign affairs team has learned and done well.
As far as disappointments, the ugly and paralyzing partisan Washington rancor remains unabated. In trying to be the great bipartisan reconciler, Obama has been too slow to recognize the depth of the Republican commitment to achieving his defeat in 2012 by objecting to everything he proposed. Obama has held out too long for compromises where there was never going to be any, and valuable time and credibility were lost. A “my way or the highway” style of governing may be undesirable, but a leader has to know when to cut bait and fight for his/her goals with passion and force. For all his great talent at delivering an inspiring set speech, he and his team have been remarkably bad communicators in explaining the day-to-day level of decisions, actions and results. This has left Republicans free to run simplified (and generally inaccurate) bumper-sticker slogans, confusing the public discussion. Given his lack of hands-on business experience, Obama has still not found a supportive voice for the businessperson, especially the small entrepreneurs who drive jobs and our economy; the balance we truly need between economic and social agendas is lacking.
Are there some specific disappointments I have from the last four years? Yes. Do I blame Obama for not delivering? No. Blame is too widespread. Compromise and reconciliation are not 1-sided propositions. One cannot lead a nation when one side refuses to march together, and instead uses our struggling economy as a mask for all kinds of side issues of social destruction. The American people are notoriously short of memory and patience. To properly assess Obama, we need to clearly remember where we started from four years ago, where we actually are now, and realistically measure our progress against the really deep hole we are still climbing out of.
It seems that complaints against Mr. Obama center on three issues: 1) that he embodies a big government, if not socialist, agenda contrary to American individualism; 2) that he has not restored our economy or reduced the national debt; or 3) that he has failed to deliver on promises and expectations from his 2008 election.
1. Socialist: In reality, America is a far distance away from being, or becoming, a socialist state where “the means of production are owned and controlled by the state.” Certainly we could all point to some areas of regulation or tax burdens we might like to reduce, but I am still free to change jobs, start my own business, spend my money pretty much as I choose, pretty much the same as in 2008. No guns have been seized, no “death panels have pulled the plug on grandma.” The only area where the government has significantly expanded its services and engagement has been with health care – the very area that has long been broken, eating up our economy, and immorally inaccessible to much of the population – using the very model created by Republican candidate Romney. Considering that it was a Republican President and Congress that passed the No-Child-Left-Behind intrusion into our public schools, and the Patriot Act intrusion into our privacy, and the various limits on people’s right to live the life they choose, the yelling about “socialism and big government” against Obama rings quite hollow. As do all the protests against the new financial regulations needed to protect us against yet another financial Great Recession.
The “socialist” charge is an easy way to whip up the emotions of those who already feel frustrated by government intrusion into our lives. It has been used (with racial undertones) by corporate monopolistic business leaders for 100 years to discredit people who are opposed to their excessive economic control and ability to wield favored political power. But the substance does not work here. Not when the term comes from the very politicians who are themselves promoting intrusion and control over our lives.
2. Economy: There is no question that the Bush economic collapse of 2008 completely reprioritized Obama’s intended political agenda. Yet Obama managed to contain a consensus looming depression into a recession. Unemployment maxed out at 10% in October 2009 – not a desirable level, but way better than the 25% experience of the 1930s Great Depression. It has since been on a steady decline for three years, most recently standing at 7.8%, just three points above our typical 5%. (The unemployment rate would be lower if Republican budget cuts and anti-stimulus votes had not fired thousands of federal and state government workers.) Total employment in the private sector has been consistently growing for over three years; there are now over 500,000 net private sector jobs in place than when Obama took office. The auto industry is alive and well, and millions of auto manufacturing and supply chain jobs were saved by Obama’s investment decision – an investment that is actually returning a profit to the U.S. Treasury. And unlike Bush’s bailout gift to the financial industry, Obama extracted smart conditions for change in both management and labor, and added benefits to the public, from auto industry leaders. The stock market was tanking as Obama came into office, losing almost one-half of its wealth to a Dow Jones Industrial Average low of $6,547. That average has now climbed up to over $13,500, and most 401k retirement accounts have been restored. The budget deficit has been steadily reduced each year, from $1,509B for FY 2009 to $1,100B for FY 2012. All in all, not a bad track record for someone trying to bring the American economy back from the financial cliff.
Growth may be slow, but it is still growth; over 90% of Americans are in fact employed. They say “it could have been worse” is a lousy campaign slogan. But sometimes it is the exact truth. Frankly the economy would be doing great if Washington would end its stalemate so that businesspeople would know the future rules of the game and be able to plan accordingly.
3. Disappointments: As for disappointments from 2008, I have trouble understanding that charge against a President who has accomplished so much given so little to work with. Americans always start out with great hope and enthusiasm for each new president; most of the time the reality falls short. Ted Kennedy described his slain brother Robert as one who “dreamed things that never were, and asked Why Not?” Yet German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck said in 1867 that “politics is the art of the possible.” Hopeful vision in a leader is important to inspire effort and establish directions. Yet you must also inevitably pick your battles carefully, make progress where you can, and seek to come out ahead of where you were. The last four years have been a time of the near IM-possible. From that basis, a lot of those 2008 campaign promises have gotten done.
Healthcare was Obama’s #1 priority, and in the end he got it done. It was unnecessarily a too-big final package, and the decision to let Congress “work out the details” was a bad one because they made a mess of it. But in a country this wealthy, bankruptcy, pain and death due to a lack of access to healthcare is inexcusable. 20 years from now, most people will wonder what all the loud protest was about, coming from people who already have health care and who will not be negatively affected by the changes. Just as some politicians once protested Social Security and Medicare.
Immigration fairness has not been done due to the extreme “either/or” thinking in Congress. Working in the middle, Obama has supported increased border patrols and deportation of illegal aliens. But he also has supported some form of “path to citizenship” and a “Dream Act” for the children of illegal aliens that Republicans refuse to consider even as they refuse to round up the aliens they object to and send them home. So Obama unilaterally found ways to provide some access and security for these children by executive order.
To ensure equality of rights, the “Don’t Ask / Don’t Tell” law prohibiting equal opportunity to serve in the military has been repealed; Obama has refused to enforce the “Domestic Marriage Act” prohibiting social benefits to domestic partners; and he has signed a bill strengthening “equal pay for equal work” requirements. For some reason we still struggle with that “all men are created equal” thing.
Internationally and militarily, Obama has pulled that agenda off the usual Republican plate. The Iraq war is over; two more years to go in Afghanistan to end President Bush’s forgotten “other war”; bin Laden is dead; al-Qaeda, while still dangerous, has been badly crippled; Libya is free of Gadaffi. Guantanamo is still open due to Congress’ refusal to fund any alternate prison on American soil. Our standing and partnerships with European leaders have been restored; the Middle East remains a 65-year old intractable problem spanning 12 Presidents for reasons too many to delineate here, even as former Bush (and now Romney) advisors trumpet for new arrogant military responses with Syria and Iran. We do not seem to learn our lessons very well or easily. But the Obama/Clinton foreign affairs team has learned and done well.
As far as disappointments, the ugly and paralyzing partisan Washington rancor remains unabated. In trying to be the great bipartisan reconciler, Obama has been too slow to recognize the depth of the Republican commitment to achieving his defeat in 2012 by objecting to everything he proposed. Obama has held out too long for compromises where there was never going to be any, and valuable time and credibility were lost. A “my way or the highway” style of governing may be undesirable, but a leader has to know when to cut bait and fight for his/her goals with passion and force. For all his great talent at delivering an inspiring set speech, he and his team have been remarkably bad communicators in explaining the day-to-day level of decisions, actions and results. This has left Republicans free to run simplified (and generally inaccurate) bumper-sticker slogans, confusing the public discussion. Given his lack of hands-on business experience, Obama has still not found a supportive voice for the businessperson, especially the small entrepreneurs who drive jobs and our economy; the balance we truly need between economic and social agendas is lacking.
Are there some specific disappointments I have from the last four years? Yes. Do I blame Obama for not delivering? No. Blame is too widespread. Compromise and reconciliation are not 1-sided propositions. One cannot lead a nation when one side refuses to march together, and instead uses our struggling economy as a mask for all kinds of side issues of social destruction. The American people are notoriously short of memory and patience. To properly assess Obama, we need to clearly remember where we started from four years ago, where we actually are now, and realistically measure our progress against the really deep hole we are still climbing out of.
Wednesday, October 3, 2012
Election 2012 -- Mitt Romney
In the right corner of today’s political boxing ring we
have the Republican candidate for President in 2012: Millard Mitt Romney. Mr. Romney’s father, George, was president of
American Motors Company, Governor of Michigan, and unsuccessful candidate for
the Republican nomination for President in 1968. Given his father’s financial and political
success, Mitt Romney was able to receive an excellent private school education
and a good head start on life. He had a
highly successful career in the private investment industry, making him one of
the wealthiest candidates ever to run for president. His public service life includes an
unsuccessful U.S. Senate run against Ted Kennedy in 1994; one term as
Massachusetts Governor from 2003-2007; an unsuccessful run for the Republican
presidential nomination in 2008; and now this bid in the general election. But even after all of this public exposure,
what are we to make of this man and his candidacy? Three core issues call out for examination.
1. Core Principles: There is an old anecdote about Hollywood that says, once you strip away its layers upon layers of tinsel and glitter, what you find underneath it all is – simply more tinsel. Such can be similarly said about Mr. Romney’s apparent lack of any consistent core beliefs. Over his nearly 20 years of running for public office, he has held almost every conceivable position possible on almost every political and social issue available, shifting as needed to fit the expediency of the office, the campaign, the times, or the audience. Which is why his own Republican base is so suspicious and un-enamored of him. I personally admire people who learn lessons from their lifetimes, and who evolve their thinking based upon rational input, personal experience, and thoughtful reflection. But Mr. Romney’s such evolutions are too conveniently done. Changes in public statements and positions can occur within months, if not days, with seemingly little regard for past utterances documented on camera or in print. Watching the subsequent awkward and near-irrational explanation for each new epiphany of thought is torturous to any rational-thinking human being.
Voting for a candidate is the vehicle by which voters express their collective beliefs and goals through their elected surrogate. When someone thinks so little of his/her personal beliefs that they are unwilling to state and defend them, rather than shift those beliefs from audience to audience, they obviate the whole concept of what a vote stands for. We should not give away the sacred privilege of our vote so easily. As with John McCain in 2008, watching a good person throw away their very soul for secular political gain is painfully disheartening to see. Did not someone once point out to us that, “For what shall it profit a man, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul?” The lesson for us all is that when you continually act without your core principles, over time it catches up with you. Mr. Romney is faltering because all the various versions of him are now colliding, leaving him a man now without definition.
2. Invisible Agenda: In 1968, presidential candidate Richard Nixon announced that he had a “secret plan for ending the [Viet Nam] war.” Of course if the North Vietnamese/Viet Cong knew what the plan was, they would maneuver to negate it. So Nixon cleverly refused to tell the American public what the secret plan was. Instead, he boldly asked America to simply trust him to do the right thing. Given how sick Americans were of the war and related domestic turmoil, they voted him into office, trusting for a change of direction. The result: new secret bombings and ground incursions into Laos and Cambodia; 2/3rds of the nearly 60,000 Americans killed in Viet Nam happened under Nixon, not Lyndon Johnson; we lost the war anyway.
Mr. Romney now seeks to follow the same “secret plan” strategy to revive our economy. He says he has an economic plan, but he won’t tell us what it is until after the election. “Just trust me, I’ll make it work,” he seems to say. He has given us all kinds of endgame markers that sound good (does anyone really believe “12 million new jobs in the next four years”?), but not a word about how he is going to accomplish these. He intends to cut taxes for everyone and spread more of Reagan’s long discredited “trickle-down prosperity for all.” He intends to cut many programs he thinks we supposedly do not need in order to reduce the budget deficit, but will not tell us which programs those are. Similarly, he will cut tax loopholes, but will not tell us which loopholes he is targeting. He will do all of this cutting while nevertheless increasing our military budget hundreds of billions of dollars over what the Pentagon wants or the nation needs or can afford. He has muzzled his own Vice Presidential partner and disavowed Paul Ryan’s detailed budget proposals, saying only that he “will have my own budget” – but he will not reveal that to us either.
Just being “against Obama” is not a valid campaign. At some point, a true leader has to stand and say what s/he would actually DO, in more specifics than just high-school platitudes and clichés. We do not need a hidden candidate with a “stealth economic program.” We got taken for our naiveté in 1968. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.
3. Business Experience: Mr. Romney has tried to make the economy his whole focal point against Mr. Obama. He states his prior business experience at Bain Capital as his credentials for achieving the same wealthy end result for the country. I do not begrudge for one minute Mr. Romney’s achievement of wealth for himself and his family, which by all accounts he made within the existing rules of the game. However, while that may be a good track record for his business career, it is an exact DIS-qualification to be President. A deregulated financial services industry led us into this recession, and has proven itself to be a mindset totally incapable of reforming from the inside. It is an industry that sees businesses as simply “inventory” to be bought and sold as commodities, not as employers and producers of quality and safe goods and services. This success is not about actually running a company; it is about selling off its assets and getting out. Mr. Romney is a product of that industry, an industry that does not think about sharing its success among all those who truly create that wealth regardless of their employment position. This business background, for an endless list of reasons discussed across several prior blogs, is totally unsuited for one who would be President of this country of widely diverse Americans.
I have no concerns about the personal integrity of Mr. Romney, no fear of a John Edwards-styled skeleton lurking in any closet. Yet I listen and watch Mr. Romney’s surprisingly amateurish campaign unfold day-to-day; his embarrassingly insensitive forays into international politics; his inanely stupid comments about everyday things one after another; or his attempt to explain away one ill-thought statement after another (“47% victims”?). It leaves me feeling that I am watching someone who views the Presidency of the United States as simply one more corporate acquisition, the last and biggest “deal” of his career, with the American people just data points on a spreadsheet, from one who has lived his life completely cocooned from the reality of our people’s wide diversity and experience.
This track record is perhaps fine preparation for heading up Bain Capital and making it financially successful for its small cadre of partners. But the United States of America is not Bain Capital or just another corporation. So that same track record is a lousy preparation from which to represent and govern all of the people of the country with equal consideration and respect. Including the simplest and most humble of our people.
“Managerial leadership is not the same as political leadership. Some of Romney’s business skills might be helpful, but business is not politics, and politics is not business. Otherwise, we’d have the same word for it.” (Jody Baumgartner, presidential scholar, East Carolina University)
1. Core Principles: There is an old anecdote about Hollywood that says, once you strip away its layers upon layers of tinsel and glitter, what you find underneath it all is – simply more tinsel. Such can be similarly said about Mr. Romney’s apparent lack of any consistent core beliefs. Over his nearly 20 years of running for public office, he has held almost every conceivable position possible on almost every political and social issue available, shifting as needed to fit the expediency of the office, the campaign, the times, or the audience. Which is why his own Republican base is so suspicious and un-enamored of him. I personally admire people who learn lessons from their lifetimes, and who evolve their thinking based upon rational input, personal experience, and thoughtful reflection. But Mr. Romney’s such evolutions are too conveniently done. Changes in public statements and positions can occur within months, if not days, with seemingly little regard for past utterances documented on camera or in print. Watching the subsequent awkward and near-irrational explanation for each new epiphany of thought is torturous to any rational-thinking human being.
Voting for a candidate is the vehicle by which voters express their collective beliefs and goals through their elected surrogate. When someone thinks so little of his/her personal beliefs that they are unwilling to state and defend them, rather than shift those beliefs from audience to audience, they obviate the whole concept of what a vote stands for. We should not give away the sacred privilege of our vote so easily. As with John McCain in 2008, watching a good person throw away their very soul for secular political gain is painfully disheartening to see. Did not someone once point out to us that, “For what shall it profit a man, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul?” The lesson for us all is that when you continually act without your core principles, over time it catches up with you. Mr. Romney is faltering because all the various versions of him are now colliding, leaving him a man now without definition.
2. Invisible Agenda: In 1968, presidential candidate Richard Nixon announced that he had a “secret plan for ending the [Viet Nam] war.” Of course if the North Vietnamese/Viet Cong knew what the plan was, they would maneuver to negate it. So Nixon cleverly refused to tell the American public what the secret plan was. Instead, he boldly asked America to simply trust him to do the right thing. Given how sick Americans were of the war and related domestic turmoil, they voted him into office, trusting for a change of direction. The result: new secret bombings and ground incursions into Laos and Cambodia; 2/3rds of the nearly 60,000 Americans killed in Viet Nam happened under Nixon, not Lyndon Johnson; we lost the war anyway.
Mr. Romney now seeks to follow the same “secret plan” strategy to revive our economy. He says he has an economic plan, but he won’t tell us what it is until after the election. “Just trust me, I’ll make it work,” he seems to say. He has given us all kinds of endgame markers that sound good (does anyone really believe “12 million new jobs in the next four years”?), but not a word about how he is going to accomplish these. He intends to cut taxes for everyone and spread more of Reagan’s long discredited “trickle-down prosperity for all.” He intends to cut many programs he thinks we supposedly do not need in order to reduce the budget deficit, but will not tell us which programs those are. Similarly, he will cut tax loopholes, but will not tell us which loopholes he is targeting. He will do all of this cutting while nevertheless increasing our military budget hundreds of billions of dollars over what the Pentagon wants or the nation needs or can afford. He has muzzled his own Vice Presidential partner and disavowed Paul Ryan’s detailed budget proposals, saying only that he “will have my own budget” – but he will not reveal that to us either.
Just being “against Obama” is not a valid campaign. At some point, a true leader has to stand and say what s/he would actually DO, in more specifics than just high-school platitudes and clichés. We do not need a hidden candidate with a “stealth economic program.” We got taken for our naiveté in 1968. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.
3. Business Experience: Mr. Romney has tried to make the economy his whole focal point against Mr. Obama. He states his prior business experience at Bain Capital as his credentials for achieving the same wealthy end result for the country. I do not begrudge for one minute Mr. Romney’s achievement of wealth for himself and his family, which by all accounts he made within the existing rules of the game. However, while that may be a good track record for his business career, it is an exact DIS-qualification to be President. A deregulated financial services industry led us into this recession, and has proven itself to be a mindset totally incapable of reforming from the inside. It is an industry that sees businesses as simply “inventory” to be bought and sold as commodities, not as employers and producers of quality and safe goods and services. This success is not about actually running a company; it is about selling off its assets and getting out. Mr. Romney is a product of that industry, an industry that does not think about sharing its success among all those who truly create that wealth regardless of their employment position. This business background, for an endless list of reasons discussed across several prior blogs, is totally unsuited for one who would be President of this country of widely diverse Americans.
I have no concerns about the personal integrity of Mr. Romney, no fear of a John Edwards-styled skeleton lurking in any closet. Yet I listen and watch Mr. Romney’s surprisingly amateurish campaign unfold day-to-day; his embarrassingly insensitive forays into international politics; his inanely stupid comments about everyday things one after another; or his attempt to explain away one ill-thought statement after another (“47% victims”?). It leaves me feeling that I am watching someone who views the Presidency of the United States as simply one more corporate acquisition, the last and biggest “deal” of his career, with the American people just data points on a spreadsheet, from one who has lived his life completely cocooned from the reality of our people’s wide diversity and experience.
This track record is perhaps fine preparation for heading up Bain Capital and making it financially successful for its small cadre of partners. But the United States of America is not Bain Capital or just another corporation. So that same track record is a lousy preparation from which to represent and govern all of the people of the country with equal consideration and respect. Including the simplest and most humble of our people.
“Managerial leadership is not the same as political leadership. Some of Romney’s business skills might be helpful, but business is not politics, and politics is not business. Otherwise, we’d have the same word for it.” (Jody Baumgartner, presidential scholar, East Carolina University)
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